biden executive order digital currency Top stories

New Zealand wants to persuade the United States not to impose tariffs after Trump takes office. New Zealand Finance Minister Nicola Willis said that after US President-elect Donald Trump takes office, New Zealand should be exempted from imposing comprehensive tariffs, and asked officials to be sensible to the United States. "Our initial position was please don't do this," Willis said in an interview in Wellington. "We let diplomats show the best of New Zealand."Compared with the beginning of the personal pension system, the number of participating insurance companies has increased nearly four times, and insurance companies have become an important supplier of personal pension products. The comprehensive opening of the personal pension system will undoubtedly create a historical opportunity for the insurance industry to participate more deeply in the construction of the third pillar. (SSE)The restricted shares with a market value of 644 million yuan were lifted today. Xishan Technology, Betray and Wanda Bearing were among the top companies in terms of market value. On Friday (December 13th), the restricted shares of eight companies were lifted, with a total lifting amount of 20,925,400 shares. According to the latest closing price, the total lifting market value was 644 million yuan. Judging from the amount of lifting the ban, Betray, Xishan Technology and Nanwang Technology were among the top, with 9,834,300 shares, 3,706,800 shares and 3,247,500 shares respectively. Judging from the market value of lifting the ban, the number of shares lifted by 0 companies exceeded 100 million yuan. Xishan Technology, Betray and Wanda Bearing are among the top companies in terms of market value, with market values of 246 million yuan, 229 million yuan and 76.73 million yuan respectively. From the perspective of the proportion of shares released from the ban to the total share capital, Xishan Technology, Wanda Bearing and Nanwang Technology are among the top, with 7.47%, 3.08% and 1.66% respectively.

Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.Thirteen companies disclosed the progress of repurchase, among which Green Energy Huichong and Ruike had the highest amount of laser repurchase plans. On December 13th, a total of 13 companies issued announcements on stock repurchase. Among them, two companies disclosed the stock repurchase plan for the first time, four companies disclosed the progress of the implementation of stock repurchase, and seven companies have completed the implementation of the repurchase plan. Judging from the initial disclosure of the repurchase plan, Green Energy Huichong and Ruike Laser have the highest amount of repurchase plans, with the planned repurchase not exceeding 1.115 million yuan and 487,900 yuan respectively. Judging from the implementation progress of repurchase, Yuanli Technology, Jiuli Special Materials and Jack have the highest share repurchase amounts, with 33.1077 million yuan, 30.9807 million yuan and 3.2323 million yuan respectively. Judging from the completed repurchase, a total of one company repurchased more than 10 million on that day. Aerospace Rainbow, Aerospace Rainbow and Guanshi Technology have completed the highest repurchase amount, with 33.2989 million yuan, 2.479 million yuan and 2.1642 million yuan respectively.Soochow securities: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December. According to the soochow securities Research Report, the CPI of the United States rebounded to +2.75% in November as scheduled, and the CPI that did not exceed expectations cleared the last obstacle for the Fed to cut interest rates in December. In the short term, the combination of low base and high viscosity means that CPI is expected to continue to rebound to +2.8% in December. In the medium term, Trump is expected to drive out illegal immigrants on the first day after taking office, which will aggravate the risk of stagflation in the labor market. However, the intensification of wage inflation stickiness may be concealed by the downward movement of non-agricultural centers in the same period, the expectation of increasing oil prices and the high base in the first half of 2025. The market's concern about "stagnation" may provide room for the Fed to cut interest rates smoothly in the first half of 2025. However, in the second half of 2025, the cumulative interest rate cuts will give support to the economy, the persistence of inflation stickiness and the landing of Trump's tax reduction policy will force the Fed to cut interest rates. It is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25bps in December, 25bps in March and June next year, and stop cutting interest rates in the second half of the year. The end point of the policy interest rate in 2025 is [3.75,4.0]%.

Haitong Securities: The moderate price reduction of traditional Chinese medicine varieties continues. The domestic pharmaceutical industry is expected to set off a wave of mergers and acquisitions. Haitong Securities released a research report saying that the moderate price reduction of traditional Chinese medicine varieties continues. In 2024, the traditional Chinese medicine industry was under pressure due to the pressure of pharmacy terminal sales and inventory pressure, and it is expected to return to a good situation in the next 25 years. In addition, the continuous technological changes in the pharmaceutical industry, the development of IPO to mergers and acquisitions and the promotion of corporate governance optimization at the shareholder level are the main reasons for promoting mergers and acquisitions in the industry. In terms of fields, mergers and acquisitions are expected to occur intensively in sub-sectors such as medical devices, Chinese medicine, medical services, blood products and scientific research services.The yield of major inter-bank interest rate bonds generally declined at the beginning of the session, and the yield of 10-year treasury bonds "24 interest-bearing treasury bonds 11" fell by 0.5bp to 1.8030%, hitting a record low; The yield of 10-year CDB "24 CDB 15" decreased by 2.25bp to 1.86%, and the yield of 30-year Treasury bond "24 Special Treasury Bond 06" decreased by 2.25bp to 2.02%.Guotai Junan: It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, and there is a strong opportunity and space for rebound. Guotai Junan Securities recently reported that the lithium price has entered the bottom range by the end of 2024. If the demand maintains the current neutral estimate in 2025, the lithium price will fluctuate in the bottom range. At present, the market is optimistic about the demand in 2025, and the industry supply has slowed down. It is estimated that the price trend of lithium will fluctuate in the bottom range in 2025, in which the stage is affected by seasonal factors and there is a strong rebound opportunity and space. The market expected the trading of lithium plate earlier, that is, when the commodity price bottomed out, the lithium plate already contained the expectation of industrial clearing. When the industry actually enters the stage of supply and clearing, the sector will trade commodity price reversal expectations. From this, we infer that the rise of lithium plate will start before the spot price reverses.